Texas vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15
Published 4:13 pm Friday, February 14, 2025
Saturday’s game between the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 6-5 SEC) and Texas Longhorns (15-10, 4-8 SEC) going head to head at Moody Center has a projected final score of 79-76 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Kentucky, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will tip off at 8:00 PM ET on February 15.
According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Texas. The over/under is listed at 157.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.
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Texas vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Austin, Texas
- Venue: Moody Center
- Line: Texas -1.5
- Point total: 157.5
- Moneyline (to win): Texas -128, Kentucky +106
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Texas vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 79, Texas 76
Spread & Total Prediction for Texas vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (157.5)
Texas has gone 13-12-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 12-12-0. The Longhorns have hit the over in 15 games, while Wildcats games have gone over 13 times. The two teams combine to score 164.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Texas is 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
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Texas Performance Insights
- The Longhorns have a +241 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.7 points per game. They’re putting up 78.6 points per game to rank 75th in college basketball and are allowing 68.9 per outing to rank 89th in college basketball.
- Texas wins the rebound battle by two boards on average. It records 32.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 151st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.6 per outing.
- Texas connects on 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball) at a 36.6% rate (61st in college basketball), compared to the 7 its opponents make while shooting 34% from beyond the arc.
- The Longhorns record 102.9 points per 100 possessions (37th in college basketball), while allowing 90.3 points per 100 possessions (122nd in college basketball).
- Texas has committed 9.1 turnovers per game (14th in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 11.3 it forces on average (201st in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats have a +245 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.3 points per game. They’re putting up 86.3 points per game, third in college basketball, and are allowing 76 per contest to rank 297th in college basketball.
- Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. It records 35.3 rebounds per game, 40th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.8.
- Kentucky hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (21st in college basketball) at a 38.4% rate (16th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 per game its opponents make, at a 29.6% rate.
- Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.7 per game (40th in college basketball) and force 9.2 (345th in college basketball).
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