NBA Best Bets: Pacers vs. Heat Picks for February 28

Published 10:33 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) are favored by 3.5 points against the Miami Heat (27-30) on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

For the best bets you can place on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
  • TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Pacers vs. Heat Best Bets

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Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)

  • Indiana has 28 wins in 57 games against the spread this year.
  • Miami has 26 wins in 57 games against the spread this season.
  • The Pacers have an ATS record of 12-15 as 3.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 3.5-point underdogs or more is 6-11.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (226.5)

  • In 38 games this season, the Pacers and their opponents have gone over 226.5 total points.
  • The Heat have combined with their opponents to score more than 226.5 points in 27 of 57 games this season.
  • The average total in Indiana’s contests this year is 232.7, 6.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • Miami’s matchups this season have a 219.6-point average over/under, 6.9 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Heat are the league’s 28th-highest scoring team this season compared to the 14th-ranked Pacers.
  • The Heat have surrendered the fourth-fewest points in the league this season, while the Pacers have given up the 16th-fewest.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Heat (+140)

  • The Pacers have won 21, or 63.6%, of the 33 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • The Heat have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (32%) in those games.
  • Indiana has a record of 16-8, a 66.7% win rate, when it’s favored by -170 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win four times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pacers have a 63% chance to win.

Bet on this game’s moneyline with BetMGM

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