Tennessee vs. Kentucky Women’s Basketball Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 27

Published 2:10 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Thursday’s game between the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (21-6) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (21-5) at Memorial Coliseum should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 75-74, with Tennessee securing the victory. Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET on February 27.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the point spread, which currently sits at 3.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 155.5 total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
  • Venue: Memorial Coliseum
  • Line: Tennessee -3.5
  • Point total: 155.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -185, Kentucky +150

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+3.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Tennessee has compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 11-9-0. The Volunteers have gone over the point total in seven games, while Wildcats games have gone over 10 times. The two teams score 165.9 points per game, 10.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over the last 10 contests. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 games.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

  • The Volunteers outscore opponents by 19.0 points per game (scoring 89.7 points per game to rank first in college basketball while allowing 70.7 per contest to rank 309th in college basketball) and have a +515 scoring differential overall.
  • Tennessee records 37.9 rebounds per game (13th in college basketball) while conceding 31.2 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.7 boards per game.
  • Tennessee makes 10.5 three-pointers per game (first in college basketball), 5.5 more than its opponents (5.0). It is shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc (79th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 28.3%.
  • The Volunteers’ 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in college basketball, and the 76.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 94th in college basketball.
  • Tennessee has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 6.1 turnovers per game, committing 14.4 (120th in college basketball action) while forcing 20.5 (14th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats put up 76.2 points per game (36th in college basketball) while allowing 61.6 per outing (111th in college basketball). They have a +380 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 14.6 points per game.
  • Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. It records 35.0 rebounds per game, 57th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.5.
  • Kentucky connects on 3.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.3 (27th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 4.8.
  • Kentucky has committed 12.4 turnovers per game (34th in college basketball) while forcing 12.9 (325th in college basketball).

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