Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 6:16 am Friday, February 28, 2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) square off against the Miami Heat (27-30) as 4.5-point favorites on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (225.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
  • The Pacers’ .491 ATS win percentage (28-29-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat’s .456 mark (26-31-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Miami is 6-7 against the spread compared to the 10-14 ATS record Indiana puts up as a 4.5-point favorite.
  • Indiana and its opponents have exceeded the total 57.9% of the time this season (33 out of 57). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (31 out of 57).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Pacers are 21-12, a better record than the Heat have put up (8-17) as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are putting up 116.4 points per game (ninth-ranked in NBA) this season, while surrendering 115.2 points per contest (20th-ranked).
  • Indiana has found it difficult to accumulate rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 41.4 rebounds per game. It ranks 19th by allowing 44.6 boards per contest.
  • The Pacers are dishing out 28.9 assists per game, which ranks them sixth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana ranks top-five this season in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.6 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Pacers are making 12.7 three-pointers per game (19th-ranked in NBA) this season, while sporting a 36.7% three-point percentage (11th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are 24th in the league in points scored (110 per game) and seventh in points conceded (110.6).
  • On the glass, Miami is 18th in the NBA in rebounds (43.9 per game). It is 23rd in rebounds allowed (45.5 per game).
  • At 26.1 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • Miami commits 12.7 turnovers per game and force 12.6 per game, ranking sixth and 23rd, respectively, in the league.
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (13.9). They are 15th in 3-point percentage at 36%.

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