Kentucky vs. Georgia State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 29

Published 8:08 pm Thursday, November 28, 2024

Friday’s game at Rupp Arena has the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (6-0) matching up with the Georgia State Panthers (4-3) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 90-64 victory, as our model heavily favors Kentucky.

Based on our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 28.5-point spread in its matchup against Kentucky. The over/under has been set at 160.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Kentucky vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 29, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Lexington, Kentucky
  • Venue: Rupp Arena
  • Line: Kentucky -28.5
  • Point total: 160.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -33333, Georgia State +4000

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Kentucky vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Kentucky 90, Georgia State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Georgia State

  • Pick ATS: Georgia State (+28.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (160.5)

Both Kentucky and Georgia State are 4-2-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Wildcats are 4-2-0 and the Panthers are 2-4-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 170.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats outscore opponents by 28.5 points per game (scoring 95.3 points per game to rank second in college basketball while allowing 66.8 per outing to rank 90th in college basketball) and have a +171 scoring differential overall.
  • The 42.2 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank fifth in college basketball, and are 8.2 more than the 34.0 its opponents collect per outing.
  • Kentucky connects on 6.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 11.8 (ninth-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.7.
  • The Wildcats’ 111.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in college basketball, and the 77.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in college basketball.
  • Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.8 per game (60th in college basketball) and force 10.8 (270th in college basketball play).

Georgia State Performance Insights

  • The Panthers are outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game, with a +10 scoring differential overall. They put up 75.3 points per game (205th in college basketball) and give up 73.9 per contest (245th in college basketball).
  • Georgia State ranks 24th in college basketball at 38.4 rebounds per game. That’s 6.7 more than the 31.7 its opponents average.
  • Georgia State makes 1.8 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.9 (266th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.7.
  • Georgia State has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 11.7 (181st in college basketball) while forcing 9.4 (338th in college basketball).

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