Saturday’s game at Rupp Arena has the No. 5 Kentucky Wildcats (9-1) taking on the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) at 5:15 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 82-72 victory, as our model heavily favors Kentucky.

According to our computer prediction, Louisville should cover the point spread, which is listed at 10.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 157.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
• Time: 5:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -10.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -649, Louisville +460

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 82, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Louisville

• Pick ATS: Louisville (+10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Kentucky is 5-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Louisville’s 4-6-0 ATS record. The Wildcats have hit the over in six games, while Cardinals games have gone over two times. The two teams score an average of 167.2 points per game, 9.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats have a +208 scoring differential, topping opponents by 20.8 points per game. They’re putting up 91.1 points per game to rank first in college basketball and are allowing 70.3 per outing to rank 166th in college basketball.
• Kentucky ranks fourth in the country at 40.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 34.2 its opponents average.
• Kentucky connects on 10.2 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 35.5% rate (117th in college basketball), compared to the 7 per game its opponents make at a 26.4% rate.
• The Wildcats’ 108 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in college basketball, and the 83.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 41st in college basketball.
• Kentucky forces 10.2 turnovers per game (309th in college basketball) while committing 9.2 (19th in college basketball play).

Louisville Performance Insights

• The Cardinals put up 76.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) while giving up 68.7 per outing (125th in college basketball). They have a +74 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game.
• Louisville is 39th in the nation at 37.1 rebounds per game. That’s 6.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents average.
• Louisville hits 8.6 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.7 on average.
• Louisville wins the turnover battle by 2.1 per game, committing 12.5 (264th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.6.

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